【ECON201322】

宏观经济学研讨会

（总第151期）

【时间】2013年12月11日（周三）12：15－13：45

【地点】明商0202教室

【主讲】夏晓华　中国人民大学经济学院副教授

【主题】Post-1500 Population Flows and the Long-Run Determinants of Economic Growth and Inequality (written by Louis Putterman, and David N. Weil, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2010)

【摘要】We construct a matrix showing the share of the year 2000 population in every country that is descended from people in different source countries in the year 1500. Using the matrix to adjust indicators of early development so that they reflect the history of a population`s ancestors rather than the history of the place they live today greatly improves the ability of those indicators to predict current GDP. The variance of the early development history of a country`s inhabitants is a good predictor for current inequality, with ethnic groups originating in regions having longer histories of organized states tending to be at the upper end of a country`s income distribution.

【主持】陈彦斌 教授

人大宏观经济学研讨会（Macro Workshop）旨在追踪宏观经济学国际最新进展，倡导构建符合国情的动态优化模型，并使用计算机模拟研究经济增长、收入分配和宏观政策等中国宏观经济重大问题。

联系人：陈小亮　　E_mail: chenxiaoliang2200@126.com

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经济学院

中国经济改革与发展研究院