经济学院祝坤福副教授论文在Journal of International Money and Finance发表
发文时间:2022-05-22

近日,对外经济贸易大学全球价值链研究院王直教授、美国哥伦比亚大学商学院魏尚进教授、对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院余心玎副教授和中国人民大学经济学院祝坤福副教授的合作论文“Global value chains over business cycles”在Journal of International Money and Finance正式发表。

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内容摘要

Global Value Chains (GVCs) now represent a key aspect of economic interdependence across countries. This paper makes two methodological contributions. First, it proposes a framework with which to decompose total production activities at the country, sector, or country-sector level into different types depending on whether they are for pure domestic demand, traditional international trade, simple GVC activities, and complex GVC activities. Second, this work proposes a set of GVC participation indices that improves on measures used in the literature. Upon applying this framework to Inter-Country Input-Output Tables, we find a number of interesting patterns connecting value chains and business cycles. First, the composition of global production has evolved dramatically since 1995. Second, production activities of complex GVC activities comove with global business cycles more than other types of production activities. Third, the level of GVC participation affects the performance of economic growth.


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作者简介

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祝坤福,中国人民大学经济学院副教授。主要研究领域为全球价值链量化方法、投入产出技术、贸易增加值核算、贸易与能源环境分析等,曾在国际期刊Journal of International Money and Finance, Journal of Comparative Economics, China Economic Review, Economic Systems Research, Energy Economics, Nature Climate Change, One Earth, 《中国社会科学》、《经济研究》和《中国科学院院刊》等国内外期刊上发表文章数十篇,主持国家自科基金青年项目1项,面上项目2项,省部级政策咨询项目10余项。曾获第十三届孙冶方经济科学奖(2009)、第二届张培刚发展经济学研究优秀成果奖(2009)、第十九届安子介国际贸易研究奖(2016,一等奖)、首届陈锡康投入产出技术奖(2016)、中国科学院科技促进发展奖(2015,二等奖)、第八届高等学校科学研究优秀成果奖(人文社会科学)二等奖(2019)、第十九届孙冶方经济科学奖(2020)等。